TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NO. 23

TROPICAL STORM “PAENG” IS NOW OVER THE WEST PHILIPPINE SEA

Location of Center (4:00 AM):

The center of Tropical Storm “PAENG” was estimated based on all available data at 85 km West Northwest of Iba, Zambales (15.7°N, 119.3°E)

Intensity:

Maximum sustained winds of 85 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 105 km/h, and central pressure of 990 hPa

Present Movement: West northwestward at 30 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:

Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to

650 km from the center

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

TCWS No. 2

Wind threat: Gale-force winds

Warning lead time: 24 hours

Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)

Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property

Luzon:

Pangasinan, La Union, the southern portion of Ilocos Sur (City of Candon, Banayoyo, Galimuyod, Sigay, Suyo, Santa Lucia, Santa Cruz, Alilem, Tagudin, Sugpon, Cervantes, Quirino, Gregorio del Pilar, Salcedo, Lidlidda, San Emilio, Santiago, Burgos, Santa Maria, San Esteban), Benguet, Tarlac, Zambales, the western portion of Bataan (Morong, Bagac, Dinalupihan, Hermosa), the western portion of Pampanga (Floridablanca, Mabalacat City, Magalang, Angeles City, Porac), and the northwestern portion of Nueva Ecija (Guimba, Cuyapo, Talugtug, Nampicuan)

TCWS No. 1

Wind threat: Strong winds

Warning lead time: 36 hours

Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)

Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property

Luzon:

Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Apayao, Kalinga, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Abra, Ilocos Norte, the rest of Ilocos Sur, Aurora, the rest of Nueva Ecija, the rest of Pampanga, Bulacan, the rest of Bataan, Metro Manila, Laguna, Rizal, Batangas, Cavite, Quezon including Pollilo Islands, Marinduque, the northwestern portion of Romblon (Concepcion, Banton, Corcuera), Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, Oriental Mindoro, Calamian Islands, Camarines Norte, and the northwestern portion of Camarines Sur (Lupi, Ragay, Del Gallego, Sipocot)

Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals in other areas are hereby lifted

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS

Heavy Rainfall

• Through this morning: Moderate to heavy rains possible over Zambales, Bataan, Aurora, Pangasinan, Batanes, and the northern portion of Cagayan including Babuyan Islands. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains possible over Metro Manila, Cordillera Administrative Region, CALABARZON, MIMARPOPA, Camarines Provinces, Western Visayas, and the rest of Cagayan Valley and Central Luzon.

• Except in areas with significant antecedent rainfall or those still experiencing persistent heavy rainfall, flooding and rain-induced landslides are likely to slowly subside.

Severe Winds

Winds reaching gale-force strength may still be experienced any of the areas where Wind Signal No. 2 is in effect. Areas under Wind Signal No.1 may experience strong winds (strong breeze to near gale strength) throughout the passage of the tropical cyclone.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS

Under the influence of the surge of the Northeast Monsoon and PAENG, a marine gale warning remains in effect over the seaboards of Luzon and the western and eastern seaboards of Visayas. For more information, refer to Gale Warning #14 issued at 5:00 AM today.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK

• Tropical Storm PAENG has exited the landmass of Luzon at 2:00 AM today. On the forecast track, PAENG will track generally westward until this afternoon before turning north northwestward. The storm is forecast to maintain a generally north northwestward heading by tonight through Tuesday, then turn northwestward on Wednesday as it moves closer towards southern China. PAENG will likely exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow morning or afternoon.

• While over the West Philippine Sea, PAENG is forecast to re-intensify into a severe tropical storm within 24 hours and may reach typhoon category by late evening tomorrow or on Tuesday morning. However, a weakening trend is expected by late Tuesday as the tropical cyclone encounters another surge of the Northeast Monsoon.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 AM today.

DOST-PAGASA