PAGASA has been continuously monitoring the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions in the tropical Pacific. The final La Niña advisory was issued last March 10, 2023 with ENSO – neutral conditions now present. However, based on recent conditions and model forecasts, El Niño will likely develop in Jul-Aug-Sept (JAS) 2023 season and may persist until 2024. With this development, the PAGASA ENSO Alert and Warning System is now raised to El Niño Watch.
Source: https://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph/press-release/129
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